All Analysis
13 articles — sorted by date
Tatton Asset Management – The Asset Manager That Owns No Assets
42.2% ROIC, 98.3% asset retention and a fee margin that rises instead of falling. Why the largest client loss in the company's history was a gain.
The End of the Seat: Why SaaS Must Shift to Tokenization
Per-seat pricing is not dying quietly — it is being replaced in real time. What the shift to token and usage models means for business models, valuations, and c…
Five Compounders, One Yardstick: Who Compounds Cleanest in the VMS Universe
Constellation, Topicus, Lumine, Asseco and CHAPTERS are the same idea at five stages of maturity. After an AI-driven sell-off, the right pick hinges on one ques…
Asseco Poland: A Solid Company, But Not a Clean Compounder
Asseco Poland is operationally better than many metrics suggest. But high minority interests, distorted net income, and capital allocation that is hard to pin d…
Topicus: An Excellent Business, But Not an Easy Stock
Topicus has many of the traits of an exceptional software compounder. But since the Asseco deal, the stock has become harder to read, harder to value, and harde…
Lumine Group: A Good Small Compounder, But No Longer Overlooked
Lumine has many of the traits quality investors love: recurring revenue, niche markets, decentralized leadership, and strong cash generation. The problem is no …
Constellation Software: The Capital-Allocation Machine at Full Price
A ROIC spread of almost 13 percentage points — and still no margin of safety. Why CSU is great and the price, frankly, is exhausting.
CHAPTERS Group: The Compounder the HGB Balance Sheet Hides
A non-cash loss, a 64% FCF CAGR, and a valuation that already prices in everything — CHG through the Leonard lens.
SiriusXM: The Expensively Acquired Monopoly with the Asset-Light Joker
Why the market is pricing the wrong thing — and why the decisive number isn't the cash flow, but where it comes from.
Liberty Global — The Malone Flywheel
Why the persistent NAV discount isn't capital destruction, what buybacks really achieve — and why the thesis only faces its real test in 2027.
Foxtons Group – Der Lettings-Compounder zum Buchwert
67 % wiederkehrender Umsatz, 24–26 % ROIC auf zugekaufte Lettings-Bücher — eine Cash-Maschine, die zum NAV handelt.
Heidelberg Materials: Der Compounder im Beton
Sachwertgedeckter Qualitäts-Compounder mit lokalem Monopol-Moat und CO₂-Optionalität – nach dem Halbjahresbericht neu gerechnet: Fair Value ~€184.
NAPCO Security: Das stille Flywheel
Wie ein 57 Jahre alter Sicherheitstechnik-Hersteller aus Amityville das kapitaleffizienteste Geschäftsmodell im Sicherheitssektor aufgebaut hat — und warum die …